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USHL Dubuque Fighting Saints

Playoff Clinching Scenarios Ahead of Final Weekend of Regular Season

April 20, 2023 - United States Hockey League (USHL)
Dubuque Fighting Saints News Release


Dubuque, IA - With just two games remaining in the 2022-23 regular season for all 16 USHL teams, there is still a lot left to be decided before the 2023 Clark Cup Playoffs begin on Monday, April 24. From the number one overall seed in the Eastern Conference, to the sixth seed, here is a break down of how things could shake out entering the final weekend of the season.

Current Eastern Conference Standings 4/20/23 --- Tiebreakers Held -- Remaining Two Games

1. x-Chicago Steel - 81 pts, 35 ROW --- Clinched Top 2 seed and first round bye -- @MUS/@MUS

2. x-USA Hockey NTDP - 77 pts, 35 ROW --- Holds tiebreaker over Youngstown -- @YNG/@YNG

3. x-Youngstown Phantoms - 77 pts, 30 ROW -- NTDP/NTDP

4. x-Green Bay Gamblers - 69 pts, 30 ROW --- Holds tiebreakers 2-7 over Dubuque, and tiebreakers over Cedar Rapids -- @MAD/MAD

5. x-Dubuque Fighting Saints - 68 pts, 30 ROW --- Holds tiebreakers over Cedar Rapids -- WAT/@WAT

6. x-Cedar Rapids RoughRiders - 67 pts, 28 ROW -- DM/@DM

7. e-Muskegon Lumberjacks - 55 pts, 25 ROW -- CHI/CHI

8. e-Madison Capitols - 36 pts, 16 ROW -- GB/@GB

*ROW = Regulation + Overtime Wins

The Fighting Saints Cling to a Chance for Home Ice

Dubuque has put itself in a position to still be able to grab the fourth seed in the Eastern Conference. However, they no longer control their own destiny. Entering the final weekend of the Season, the Fighting Saints can finish anywhere from fourth to sixth seed. The chase for the fourth seed is between Green Bay, Dubuque, and Cedar Rapids. In the event of a points tie between Dubuque and Green Bay, Dubuque MUST finish with a higher ROW than Green Bay to win any tie breakers. Cedar Rapids does not hold tiebreakers over either side and MUST finish with more points than both teams.

Dubuque can finish FOURTH with:

- Two wins in regulation or overtime AND one Green Bay loss of any fashion

- Two wins of any fashion AND two Green Bay losses of any fashion

- One win in regulation or overtime + one win in a shootout AND one Green Bay win in a shootout + one loss of any fashion

- One win in regulation or overtime + one overtime/shootout loss AND one Green Bay win in a shootout + one loss in regulation

- One win in regulation or overtime + one overtime/shootout loss AND two Green Bay losses of any fashion

- One shootout win + one overtime/shootout loss AND two Green Bay losses of any fashion AND one Cedar Rapids loss of any fashion

- One shootout win + one overtime/shootout loss AND two Green Bay losses of any fashion AND one Cedar Rapids shootout win + any other result in remaining game

- One win in regulation or overtime AND one Green Bay loss in regulation + one loss in overtime/shootout AND one Cedar Rapids loss of any fashion

- One win of any fashion AND two Green Bay losses in regulation AND one Cedar Rapids loss of any fashion

The Fighting Saints can guarantee themselves at least the FIFTH seed with two wins of any fashion. Things get muddier however if Dubuque doesn't win both games this weekend against Waterloo. The only scenario in which the Fighting Saints can finish SIXTH is if Cedar Rapids finishes with more points outright. Dubuque holds the tiebreaker over Cedar Rapids.

Green Bay's Path to Stay Home

The Gamblers have full control of their own destiny entering Friday night's matchup in Madison. However, a loss, could throw a wrench into their hopes to remain at home for the opening round of the playoffs. Green Bay can secure the FOURTH seed with two wins of any fashion, regardless of out of town results. The Gamblers could still fall as low as sixth, but they do hold the current tiebreakers over both Dubuque and Cedar Rapids. In order to fall to sixth, Cedar Rapids would need to finish with more points outright.

RoughRiders Rough Road to Home Ice

Cedar Rapids has the most difficult chase to grab home ice. They hold no tie breakers and sit two points back of Green Bay and one back of Dubuque. To keep it simple, the RoughRiders need to finish with more points outright than Green Bay or Dubuque if they have hopes of passing either one when the regular season comes to an end on Saturday night.

Steel One Point Away From Controlling the East

After picking up a 6-3 win over Dubuque on Saturday night at home, the Chicago Steel locked up a top two seed and a first round bye in the Clark Cup Playoffs. This is significant for them because they will be without superstar Macklin Celebrini, who leads the USHL in scoring as a U17 player, until at the least April 27th. Celebrini is currently with team Canada at the U18 World Championships in Switzerland. If Canada advances all the way to the gold or bronze medal games, Celebrini would miss the entirety of the first two rounds of the playoffs. Now Chicago looks to lock down home ice throughout the Eastern Conference slate. They need just one point this weekend on the road in Muskegon to secure the top seed in the conference.

USA and Youngstown Battle for Number Two

In the only matchup between two Eastern Conference opponents that are both playoff bound, USA and Youngstown has arguably the most intrigue and most on the line. The American's are now represented by their U17 squad the rest of the way, and they're without their best players as well who have joined up with the U18 squad at the aforementioned World Championships. The good news though is they only need to win one game in regulation this weekend against Youngstown.

The Phantoms have to pass USA in points outright to claim the number two seed and grab the last available first round bye. Both teams enter the weekend tied at 77 points, but USA controls the tiebreaker no matter what. For the Phantoms to grab the bye, they need to secure three of a possible four points this weekend. Anything less than that, and USA will earn themselves Monday-Wednesday off, at least from game action.

Playoff Schedule

This season, the USHL has introduced another change to the Clark Cup Playoff format. Each team is no longer guaranteed a home matchup. In fact, that's why grabbing the fourth seed is so tantalizing for Dubuque, Green Bay, and Cedar Rapids. The fifth and sixth seed can't see home ice until a berth into the Conference Finals.

First Round (best of three): 3 seed vs. 6 seed & 4 seed vs. 5 seed - All three games at high seed - April 24-26

Conference Semifinals (best of three): Winner of 3 vs. 6 @ 2 seed & Winner of 4 vs. 5 @ 1 seed - All three games at high seed - April 28 - April 30

Conference Finals (best of five): High seed hosts opening two games and game five if necessary - May 5-11

Clark Cup Final (best of five): High seed hosts opening two games and game five if necessary - May 13-23

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