Sorting out Hawaii's playoff hopes
July 27, 2004 - arenafootball2 (af2)
Hawaiian Islanders News Release
HONOLULU â Although not official, the offices of arenafootball2 are pondering over the possible playoff scenarios entering the final week of the regular season. Without factoring in possibility of tie games, as many as 30 possible playoff scenarios exist with nine teams vying for the six National Conference playoff spots.
Through week 17, three teams clinched a playoff spot: Tulsa (11-4), Bakersfield (10-5) and Oklahoma City (10-5). The six others: Quad City (9-6), Peoria (9-6), Louisville (9-6), Hawaii (8-7), San Diego (8-7) and Wichita (8-7) can qualify as either a division champ or as a wild card.
Based on current calculations, Hawaii can only qualify as a wild card team in the following three scenarios.
Scenario One:
Hawaii defeats Bakersfield; Quad City defeats Louisville; Peoria defeats Green Bay; Central Valley defeats San Diego; Rio Grand Valley defeats Wichita.
Result: Hawaii and Louisville finish with 9-7 records (one spot available) with Hawaii winning the tiebreaker and seeded sixth. (Hawaii wins the second tiebreaker with Louisville due to a plus 1 on winning margin)
Scenario Two:
Hawaii defeats Bakersfield; Louisville defeats Quad City, Green Bay defeats Peoria; Central Valley defeats San Diego; Rio Grand Valley defeats Wichita.
Result: Quad City, Peoria and Hawaii finish with 9-7 records (two spots available) with Peoria winning the fifth seed and Hawaii seeded sixth. (Hawaii wins the second tiebreaker with Quad City due to a better common opponents record with Louisville)
Scenario Three:
Hawaii defeats Bakersfield; Louisville defeats Quad City, Peoria defeats Green Bay; Central Valley defeats San Diego; Rio Grand Valley defeats Wichita.
Result: Quad City and Hawaii finish with 9-7 records (one spot available) with Hawaii winning the tiebreaker and seeded sixth. (Hawaii wins the second tiebreaker with Quad City due to a better common opponents record with Louisville)
In all three scenarios, Hawaii will be seeded sixth and travel to the third seeded site (Quad City, Louisville or Peoria) on Aug. 7.
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