af2 arenafootball2

The Deuce Scoop

Published on July 28, 2004 under arenafootball2 (af2) News Release


BIG GAMES, BIG CROWDS: There were record crowds in af2 arenas across the country last week. Starting off in Oklahoma City, where 15,202 fans packed the Ford Center to watch a key Southwest Division matchup between the Yard Dawgz and Talons. It was the third largest crowd ever to watch an af2 game. Arkansas holds the top two spots spot, drawing 16,058 twice in 2000. Louisville and Birmingham both had crowds over 10,000 last week. Louisville drew 11,846, third best in team history, and their best crowd since the 2002 opener when they had 12,835 walk through the gates of Freedom Hall. Birmingham's crowd of 10,379 was their second largest in team history, only bested by the 14,831 they drew for the first game in af2 history in 2000. In other cities, Rio Grande Valley sold out Dodge Arena once again, with a crowd of 5,500. The 6,282 fans that witnessed Memphis defeat Macon to clinch their first ever playoff appearance was a team record crowd for Memphis.

RECORD BREAKING MORGAN: Central Valley's Kenyatte Morgan needs only 166 yards to break the record for all-purpose yards in a season. Ira Gooch, who recorded 4,472 all-purpose yards in 2002 with the Quad City Steamwheelers, currently holds the high mark. Morgan also needs 109 kickoff return yards to break the af2 record for kickoff return yards in a season. Shadrick McAfee currently holds the record with 1,943 yards in 2003 for Bossier City. McAfee also holds the record for most kickoff returns in a season with 93. Morgan needs nine kickoff returns this week to break this record also.

10,000/200 CLUB: Before the 2004 season began Craig Strickland and Rickey Herbert were the only members of the 10,000 career passing yards and 200 career touchdown passes club. Now four others have joined them. On top of this, two other passers are close to achieving 10,000/200. Chad Elliott has thrown for 10,546 yards and 196 touchdowns. Kane Claunch has 10,262 yards, but is still short on touchdown passes with 188. The 10,000/200 club is charted below.

PLAYER (TEAM) PASSING YARDS PASSING TDs
Craig Strickland (OKC) 14,415 296
Sherard Poteete (BOS) 13,982 242
Matthew Sauk (LOU) 12,403 242
Bob Bees (TUL) 11,838 221
Bryan Snyder (TEN)* 11,647 210
Ricky Hebert (ARK; 2001-03) 10,779 213
Chad Elliott (BKF) 10,546 196
Kane Claunch (SDG) 10,262 188
*Only played five games for Tennessee Valley in 2004

PIRATES RIGHT THE SHIP: After starting the season a dismal 2-5, the Peoria Pirates have rebounded to win seven of their last eight and now find themselves on the verge of a postseason berth. If they make the postseason, the 2004 Pirates season would go down in history as one of the best single-season comebacks ever. Only two other teams have ever started a season worse than the 2004 Pirates and gone to the playoffs. Below is a look at some other single season comebacks.

TEAM SEASON START/FINISH PLAYOFFS
Bakersfield 2003 1-6/8-7-1 Lost in First Round
Wichita 2002 1-6/6-10 Lost in First Round
Peoria 2004 2-5/TBD* TBD*
Florida 2003 2-4/10-6 Lost in First Round
Macon 2001 2-4/10-6 Lost in Quarterfinals

IN A RUSH: With 28 rushing yards Monday night against Columbus, Florida Firecats FB/LB Steve Gorrie is now knocking on the door of a 500-yard season. Gorrie now has 475 yards and needs just 25 in his last game to become the first 500-yard rusher in af2 history. Only three other players in af2 history have rushed for 400 or more yards: Quentin Cradle rushed for 402 yards for Memphis in 2001, Sherard Poteete ran for 405 yards for Bossier-Shreveport in 2002 and Arceneaux's record-setting 439 yards for Hawaii in 2002. Below is Gorrie's progress to date:

GP - GR YARDS LAST WEEK TOTAL YARDS TO 500
15 - 1 28 at COL 475* 25
*af2 Single Season Record

THE WILLIAMS WATCH: The af2 features Ironman players, guys who play multiple positions and rack up stat lines not usually seen in outdoor football. Kevin Williams of Arkansas is working on one of the more interesting set of season stats this season. Williams started the season as the Twisters' starting quarterback. On the season Williams has completed 134 of 258 attempts for 1,624 yards and 23 touchdowns with six interceptions. He has also rushed 44 times for 186 yards and 10 touchdowns and is Arkansas' leading rusher. After Week 10 Williams was moved back to his natural position of offensive specialist. Since then Williams has recorded 42 catches for 739 yards and 16 touchdowns to become the Twisters' second leading receiver. With Ted Alford, the Twisters' current leading receiver with 64 catches, headed to Canada to play in the CFL If Williams gets 117 receiving yards this week, he will be his team's leading player in passing, rushing and receiving yards.

SAUK PASSING FOR A RECORD : Matthew Sauk was held to 154 yards passing against the Blizzard last week, hurting his chances at breaking the all-time single season passing yards record of 4,462 by Ryan Vena with Albany last season. Sauk now needs a big game of 344 yards against Quad City this week to break the record. His 154 against Green Bay did push Sauk past the 4,000 yard mark for the third time in his af2 career.

PLAYER GM 13 YARDAGE SEASON TOTAL THROUGH GM 10 Next Game
Matt Sauk - LOU (2004) 154 vs. GBB 4,120 7/31 at QUA
Ryan Vena - ALB (2003) 337 vs. ROC 4,205 247 yards vs. MHG

OTHER 4,000 YARD PASSERS: In the history of af2, a QB has eclipsed 4,000 passing yards in a single season only nine times. As mentioned above, three of those times were by Matthew Sauk. This season the list could get even longer as four other passers have a shot at 4,000.

PLAYER (TEAM) PASSING YARDS TO 4,000 GAMES LEFT
Matthew Sauk (LOU) 4,120 - 1
Chris Sanders (MAN) 3,939 61 1
Kyle Rowley (COL) 3,849 151 1
Ronnie Gordon (QUA) 3,689 311 1
Chad Elliott (BKF) 3,637 363 1

HOME SWEET HOME: Home teams went 5-7 in Week 17. For the season home teams have gone 112-76 for a .596 win percentage. Last season home teams went 130-85-1 for a .604 win percentage. Overall in the history of af2 home teams have gone 501-330-1 for a .603 win percentage during the regular season. If home teams have another bad week, it will be the worse season for home teams since 2002. Below is a season-by-season chart:

SEASON HOME W-L-T HOME WIN %
2000 77-43-0 .642
2001 136-88-0 .607
2002 158-114-0 .581
2003 130-85-1 .604
2004 112-76-0 .596

SCORING LEADERS: Cape Fear's Matt Burstein scored 18 points on Saturday to increase his league-leading total to 252 for the season, but there are two other players within 18 points of the lead with one game to go. If Burstein gets five receiving touchdowns in his last game, he'll tie Jack Walker's record of 45 last season with Peoria. Shon King's all-time scoring record of 284 points appears to be safe for another year. Below is a look at the Top 5 scorers in af2 through Week 17:

PLAYER TEAM GP POINTS
Matt Burstein CPF 15 252
Tony Locke ALB 15 242
Kevin Prentiss MEM 14 234
Jerrian James TEN 13 220
Bo Smith BOS 15 210

PLAYOFFS EXPLAINED

HOW IT WORKS: In 2004 a total of 12 teams qualify for the af2 postseason which begins the weekend following the last week of regular season play. Six teams from each the American and National Conference qualify for the playoffs. The six qualifying teams in each conference consist of the three division champions and three Wild Cards. Wild Cards are determined by best overall record. In the First Round (August 6-7-8), the two division winners with the best overall records will have a bye. The division winner who did not earn a bye will host the lowest seeded Wild Card team. The top-seeded Wild Card team will host the remaining Wild Card team. Wild Card seeding is determined by overall record. In the Second Round (August 13-14-15), the division winners who had byes in the First Round will host the winners from the First Round. The top seeded division winner will play the lowest seeded team advancing from the First Round, while the second-seeded division winner will play the other winner from the First Round. The winners of the Second Round will meet for the Conference Championships on the weekend of August 20-21-22. The team with the better overall record hosts the Conference Championship game. The winners of the Conference Championships will face off in the 2004 ArenaCup on August 27, 28 or 29. The team with the better overall record will host.

CURRENT AMERICAN CONFERENCE STANDINGS
1. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (12-3) - Clinched Northeast Division, No. 1 seed and First Round Bye
2. Tennessee Valley (11-4) - Clinched Mid-South Division
3. Florida (10-5) - Clinched South Division Leader
4. Cape Fear (11-4) - Clinched No. 4 seed and First Round home game
5. Birmingham (9-6) - Clinched playoff spot - Has HTH tiebreaker over Memphis
6. Memphis (9-6) - Clinched Wild Card
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7. Albany (6-9)
8. Columbus (6-9)
9. Bossier-Shreveport (5-10) - Has better win% over common opponents with Manchester
10. Manchester (5-10)
11. Macon (3-12) - Holds SOS over Arkansas
12. Arkansas (3-12)

CURRENT NATIONAL CONFERENCE STANDINGS
1. Tulsa (12-3) - Clinched Southwest Division, No. 1 seed and First Round bye
2. Bakersfield (10-5) - Clinched West Division
3. Peoria (9-6) - Current Midwest Division Leader
4. Oklahoma City (10-6) - Clinched Wild Card
5. Louisville (9-6) - Currently holds HTH advantage over Quad City
6. Quad City (9-6)
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7. Wichita (8-7) - Currently holds SOS over San Diego, Hawaii
8. San Diego (8-7) - Has HTH advantage over HAW
9. Hawaii (8-7)
10. Green Bay Blizzard (5-10) - Currently holds better win% over common opponents with RGV
11. Rio Grande Valley (5-10)
12. Laredo (3-12)
13. Central Valley (2-13)
HTH = Head-to-head; SOS = Strength of schedule

AMERICAN CONFERENCE IN DEPTH: The six teams that will compete in the American Conference playoffs are: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Tennessee Valley, Florida, Cape Fear, Birmingham, Memphis.

The following seeds have been set:
· No. 1 Wilkes-Barre/Scranton - Has First Round bye and home game in Second Round vs. lowest advancing seed from First Round. Game will be Saturday, August 14 at 7:00 p.m. ET.

· No. 4 Cape Fear - Has First Round home game on Saturday, August 7 at 7:30 p.m. ET vs. No. 5 seed (FLO/BIR/MEM)

The remaining seeds look like this:
· No. 2 will be the winner of the Week 18 Tennessee Valley - Florida game. No. 2 receives a First Round bye and a home game in the Second Round against the highest advancing seed from the First Round.

· Birmingham clinches the fifth seed with a win or a Memphis loss

· Memphis can clinch the fifth seed in Week 18 with a win and a Birmingham loss.

· Birmingham has the HTH tiebreaker over Memphis for the fifth seed.

NATIONAL CONFERENCE IN DEPTH: The National Conference picture is a bit more complicated than the American Conference. So far only three teams have officially clinched a spot. They are: Tulsa, Bakersfield and Oklahoma City. The only seed locked up is the No. 1 seed by Tulsa. Tulsa has a First Round bye and will host the lowest advancing seed from the First Round in the Second Round on Saturday, August 14 at 8:30 p.m. ET.

The rest of the playoff picture hinges on who wins the Midwest Division. Going into Week 18, Quad City, Louisville and Peoria all have a shot at the Division title. Here is what each team needs to happen in order to win the Midwest Division:

· QUA wins the Midwest and the No. 3 seed with a win over LOU on Saturday.

· LOU wins the Midwest and the No. 2 seed (First Round bye) with a win over QUA combined with a PEO loss against GBB.

· PEO wins the Midwest and the No. 2 seed (First Round bye) with a win over GBB combined with a LOU win over QUA.

The No. 2 seed is currently Bakersfield's to lose. All they need to do is win this week to clinch that No. 2 seed. If Bakersfield loses, the No. 2 seed could go to Louisville or Peoria. The HTH tiebreakers for the No. 2 seed would look like this:

· BAK/QUA: No HTH meeting, but Bakersfield wins tiebreaker via better win% over common opponents (Tennessee Valley, San Diego, Arkansas)

· BAK/LOU: No HTH meeting, but Louisville wins tiebreaker via better win% over common opponents (Memphis, Hawaii).

· BAK/PEO: No HTH meeting, but these two share ARK and CVC as common opponents. They are both undefeated against those teams. The next step is SOS, which Peoria easily wins over Bakersfield.

Oklahoma City currently has the No. 4 seed, the Top Wild Card seed. The only team that could take the No. 4 seed from Oklahoma City is Louisville. If Louisville wins in Week 18 to go 10-6 but loses the Midwest in a tie to Peoria, then Louisville has a tiebreaker over Oklahoma City (better win% over common opponents) for the No. 4 seed. No. 4 hosts No. 5 in the First Round.

EXPLAINING THE TIEBREAKERS: At the end of Week 18, there could be five teams all tied at 9-7 for two remaining playoff spots. The tiebreaker rules are detailed below:

Tiebreaking Procedures
If, at the end of the regular season, two or more clubs in the same division (or conference) are tied with identical won-lost percentages, the following steps will be taken to determine rank.

Two Clubs
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost percentage in games among clubs).
2. If teams split head-to-head games, the next tiebreaker will be the point differential in those two games.
3. Best won-lost percentage in common games, if applicable
4. Strength of schedule (strength up).
5. Best net (total) touchdowns in all games
6. Coin toss

Three or More Clubs
· If two clubs remain tied after a third club is eliminated during any step, tiebreaker reverts to step 1 of the two-club format.
· If one team wins multiple-team tiebreaker to advance to playoff round, remaining teams revert to step 1 of the two-club format.
· All teams must have played head-to-head for step 1 to be utilized in a multiple-team tie.
1. Head-to-head (best won-lost percentage in games among clubs).
2. Best won-lost percentage in common games, if applicable.
3. Strength of schedule (strength up).
4. Best net (total) touchdowns in all games.
5. Coin toss

With five teams that could finish 9-7 and only two Wild Card spots available, there are a number of ties that could occur. Some of the ties cannot be predicted with 100% accuracy at this point because the strength of schedules are too close to call. All that is known for sure is that among Quad City, Louisville, Peoria, San Diego, Wichita and Hawaii there are scenarios in which each team has a shot to make or completely miss the playoffs. All these scenarios depend on who wins the Midwest Division. Based on who wins that division, the following scenarios could happen:

THE SCENARIOS BELOW ARE IF QUAD CITY WINS THE MIDWEST.

SCENARIO #1: PEO, LOU lose; QUA, SDG, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, SDG, WIC, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they have no common opponents, so this tiebreaker goes down to SOS. Right now the SOS winner is WIC, so WIC would take a playoff spot and PEO, LOU, SDG, HAW would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. That tiebreaker is explained below with LOU winning.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: WIC, LOU
NOTE: The SOS between PEO, LOU and WIC is very close. The results of this tiebreaker may change based on Week 18 results.

SCEANRIO #2: PEO, LOU, HAW lose; QUA, SDG, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, SDG, WIC - These teams have not all played HTH. They all have common opponents of Green Bay and Quad City. Louisville's win% against those two team is the best at .750, so Louisville would take the one of the playoff spots and PEO, SDG and WIC would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. PEO, SDG and WIC have not all played each other. They share Green Bay and Quad City as common opponents. San Diego has the best win% at .667 so they would receive the sixth seed.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: LOU, SDG

SCEANRIO #3: PEO, LOU, WIC, HAW lose; QUA, SDG win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, SDG - These teams have not all played HTH. They have common opponents of Green Bay and Quad City. Louisville has the best win% at .750, so Louisville would take the playoff spot and PEO and SDG would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. Since PEO and SDG never played HTH, the tiebreaker goes to common opponents. The common opponents between PEO and SDG are: Green Bay, Quad City Arkansas and Central Valley. PEO would be 3-3 and SDG would be 6-2, meaning SDG would take the final spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: LOU, SDG

SCENARIO #4: PEO, LOU, SDG, HAW lose; QUA, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, WIC - These teams have not all played HTH. They share common opponents of Green Bay and Quad City. Louisville has the best win% at .750, so they would take a playoff spot and PEO and WIC would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. Wichita and Peoria played twice this season and Wichita won both meetings, so Wichita would take the final playoff spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: LOU, WIC

SCENARIO #5 PEO, LOU, WIC, SDG lose; QUA, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, HAW - These teams have not all played each other HTH. They share no common opponents. At this point the winner of SOS would be LOU, so LOU would take a playoff spot and PEO and HAW would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. In a two-way tie with PEO and HAW, the winner would be PEO via better win% over common opponents (BOS, LOU, CVC).
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: LOU, PEO.
NOTE: The SOS between LOU and PEO is very close and could change in Week 18. If LOU and PEO ended with the same SOS, HAW would drop out and LOU and PEO would take the final two playoff spots. If PEO overtook LOU for SOS, HAW and LOU would enter a two-way tie for the final spot and HAW would have the HTH tiebreaker over LOU.

SCEANRIO #6: PEO, LOU, SDG, WIC, HAW lose; QUA wins
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU - Peoria has HTH over Louisville. Peoria gets fifth seed, Louisville gets sixth seed.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: PEO, LOU.

SCEANRIO #7: PEO, LOU, SDG lose; QUA, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, WIC, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they share no common opponents. At this point the winner of the SOS is WIC, so WIC would take a playoff spot and PEO, LOU and HAW would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. At this point LOU would win the tiebreaker between PEO, LOU and HAW as explained above in Scenario #5. TIEBREAKER WINNERS: WIC, LOU.
NOTE: The SOS between PEO, LOU and WIC is very close. The results of this tiebreaker may change based on Week 18 results.

SCEANRIO #8: PEO, LOU, WIC lose; QUA, SDG, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: PEO, LOU, SDG, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they share no common opponents. At this point the SOS winner is LOU, so LOU would take a playoff spot and PEO, SDG and HAW would re-enter a tiebreaker for the final spot. That tiebreaker would go to common opponents since all three have played Central Valley. HAW has a loss to Central Valley so they would fall out of the tiebreaker and PEO and SDG would re-enter a tiebreaker. PEO and SDG did not play HTH but they share Quad City, Green Bay, Central Valley and Arkansas as common opponents. SDG has the better win% over those opponents and would take the final playoff spot.

TIEBREAKER WINNERS: LOU, SDG.
NOTE: The SOS between LOU and PEO is very close. If PEO ends up with a better SOS than LOU, PEO would get a spot and LOU would re-enter a tiebreaker with SDG and HAW. That tiebreaker would go down to SOS and LOU would win. If PEO and LOU ended up with a tied SOS, you would drop either HAW or SDG because they would have the weakest SOS. If HAW got dropped and it was between PEO, LOU, SDG, refer to Scenario #3. If SDG got dropped and it was between PEO, LOU, HAW, refer to Scenario #5.

*SCEANRIO #9: LOU loses; QUA, PEO, SDG, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, SDG, WIC, HAW - This tiebreaker goes to SOS which WIC would have today. But the SOS between WIC and LOU is very close. If they ended tied, you would drop the weakest SOS (HAW or SDG) and re-enter a tiebreaker with LOU, WIC, HAW or LOU, WIC, SDG. In the LOU, WIC, HAW it would be SOS. Since LOU and WIC would be tied, you would drop the weakest (HAW) and re-enter a tiebreaker for WIC and LOU. In that tiebreaker WIC wins (see Scenario #12). The LOU, WIC, SDG would be decided by common opponents of Quad City, Green Bay. LOU has the best win% in that situation.

TIEBREAKER WINNER: WIC or LOU.

*SCENARIO #10: LOU, HAW lose; QUA, PEO, SDG, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, SDG, WIC* - This tiebreaker goes to common opponents which LOU has the best win%.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: LOU.

*SCENARIO #11: LOU, WIC, HAW lose; QUA, PEO, SDG win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, SDG - Have not played HTH. LOU wins with better win% over common opponents of Green Bay and Quad City, Hawaii.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: LOU.

*SCENARIO #12: LOU, SDG, HAW lose; QUA, PEO, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, WIC - Wichita wins with better win% over common opponents (PEO, GBB, QUA).
TIEBREAKER WINNER: WIC

*SCEANRIO #13: LOU, SDG, WIC lose; QUA, PEO, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, HAW - Hawaii and Louisville split season series 1-1, but HAW holds one-point advantage in point differential.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: HAW.

*SCENARIO #14: LOU, SDG lose; QUA, PEO, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, WIC, HAW - No HTH meetings. No common opponents. As of today WIC wins SOS. If LOU and WIC ended up with tied SOS, you would drop the weakest (HAW) and re-enter a tiebreaker between LOU and WIC, which WIC would win (see Scenario #12).
TIEBREAKER WINNER: WIC or LOU.

*SCENARIO #15: LOU, WIC lose; QUA, PEO, SDG, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: LOU, SDG, HAW - These three teams have not all played HTH. They share no common opponents. In SOS, LOU wins.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: LOU

*Means PEO is 10-6 but not the Midwest Division winner, so they get the fifth seed, meaning only one open playoff spot remains.

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THE SCENARIOS BELOW ARE IF LOUISVILLE WINS THE MIDWEST.

SCENARIO #16: QUA, PEO, ADG, WIC, HAW lose; LOU wins
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO - QUA has HTH over PEO. QUA gets fifth seed, PEO gets sixth seed.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, PEO.

SCENARIO #17: QUA, PEO, WIC, HAW lose; LOU, SDG win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, SDG - These teams have not all met HTH, but they do share common opponents of Arkansas and Green Bay. QUA is 3-0 against those teams, so they would take one of the playoff spots and PEO and SDG would re-enter a tiebreaker for the remaining spot. PEO and SDG have not played HTH, but share common opponents of ARK, CEN, GBB and QUA. PEO would be 3-3 against those clubs and SDG would be 6-2, giving SDG the final playoff spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, SDG.

SCENARIO #18: QUA, PEO, SDG, HAW lose; LOU, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, WIC - These teams have played HTH. WIC and QUA are both 2-1, but PEO is 1-3, so PEO drops out. QUA beat WIC, so QUA gets the higher seed than WIC.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, WIC.

SCENARIO #19: QUA, PEO, SDG, WIC lose; LOU, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH. They share common opponents of LOU. PEO is 2-0 against LOU and would take a playoff spot. HAW and QUA would re-enter tiebreaker for the final spot. HAW and QUA tiebreaker goes to common opponents of LOU, SDG. HAW is 3-3 while QUA would be 0-3, so HAW would have the final spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: PEO, HAW.

SCENARIO #20: QUA, PEO, HAW lose; LOU, SDG, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, SDG, WIC - These teams have not all played HTH but share a common opponent of Green Bay. QUA AND WIC both have the same win% against GBB, so you have to drop out the weakest win% which is PEO at 0-2. Then you start a new tiebreaker with QUA, SDG, WIC. Again this would go to common opponents of Green Bay. QUA and WIC have the same win% against GBB so you have to drop out the weakest win% which is SDG at 1-1. So the two teams that advance are QUA and WIC. QUA beat WIC this season so QUA gets seeded higher.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, WIC.

SCENARIO #21: QUA, PEO lose; LOU, SDG, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, SDG, WIC, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they do not share any common opponents, so this tiebreaker goes to SOS. As of today, the winner in SOS is QUA so they would take one of the playoff spots. The remaining teams: PEO, SDG, WIC, HAW re-enter a tiebreaker. Again this will go to SOS, which WIC would have today.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, WIC.
NOTE: The SOS between QUA, WIC and PEO is close. The results of this tiebreaker may change based on Week 18 results.

SCENARIO #22: QUA, PEO, WIC lose; LOU, SDG, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, SDG, HAW - These teams have not played HTH and there are no common opponents. QUA wins SOS leaving PEO, SDG and HAW for the remaining spot. They have a common opponent of Central Valley. That drops HAW because HAW is the only one to lose to CEN. Now PEO and SDG would be left for the final spot. They share common opponents of ARK, CEN, GBB and QUA. PEO would be 3-3 against those clubs and SDG would be 6-2, giving SDG the final playoff spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, SDG.

SCENARIO #23: QUA, PEO, SDG lose; LOU, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, PEO, WIC, HAW - These teams have not played HTH and they share no common opponents. As of today QUA wins SOS leaving , PEO, WIC and HAW in a new tiebreaker for the final spot. Again this will go to SOS, which as of today WIC wins.
TIEBREAKER WINNERS: QUA, WIC.
NOTE: The SOS between QUA, WIC and PEO is close. The results of this tiebreaker may change based on Week 18 results.

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THE SCENARIOS BELOW ARE IF PEORIA WINS THE MIDWEST.
*Means LOU is also 10-6 and has the fourth seed, OKC has the fifth seed and only one open playoff spot remains

*SCENARIO #24: QUA loses; PEO, LOU, SDG, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be QUA, SDG, WIC, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they share no common opponents. The SOS winner as of today is QUA.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: QUA.
NOTE: The SOS between QUA and WIC is close. WIC gets the spot if they beat QUA in SOS. If WIC tied QUA in SOS, you'd drop the weakest SOS and start a new tiebreaker. So, you could have QUA, WIC, SDG or QUA, WIC, HAW. In both instances the weakest SOS would be dropped, leaving QUA and WIC in a tiebreaker for the spot. QUA beat WIC in their only meeting, meaning QUA gets the spot.

*SCENARIO #25: QUA, HAW lose; PEO, LOU, SDG, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, SDG, WIC - These teams have not played HTH, but do share a common opponent of Green Bay. That would eliminate SDG since they were the only one to lose to GBB, leaving QUA and WIC in a tiebreaker. QUA beat WIC HTH, so QUA gets the spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: QUA.

*SCENARIO #26: QUA, HAW, WIC lose; PEO, LOU, SDG win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, SDG - SDG beat QUA in the only HTH meeting.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: SDG.

*SCENARIO #27: QUA, SDG, HAW lose; PEO, LOU, WIC win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, WIC - QUA beat WIC in the only HTH meeting.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: QUA.

*SCENARIO #28: QUA, SDG, WIC lose; PEO, LOU, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, HAW - No HTH meeting but do share common opponent of LOU. HAW is 1-1, QUA would be 0-2 against LOU, meaning HAW gets the spot.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: HAW.

*SCENARIO #29: QUA, SDG lose; PEO, LOU, WIC, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, WIC, HAW* - These teams have not all played HTH and they share no common opponents. QUA wins SOS as of today.
TIEBREAKER: QUA.
NOTE: WIC gets the spot if they beat QUA in SOS. If WIC ended up tied with QUA for SOS, you would drop HAW because they have the weakest SOS. That would leave WIC and QUA in a tiebreaker and QUA wins that because they beat WIC in their only meeting.

*SCENARIO #30: QUA, WIC lose; PEO, LOU, SDG, HAW win
9-7 teams would be: QUA, SDG, HAW - These teams have not all played HTH and they share no common opponents. QUA wins SOS.
TIEBREAKER WINNER: QUA.

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arenafootball2 Stories from July 28, 2004


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