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How Does This Happen

Posted: Mon May 14, 2007 4:26 pm
by BOLTFAN1
Rank Team Record Round-Robin
Winning
Percentage Bradley-Terry
Points

1. Mississippi MudCats (10-2) 0.849 100.000
2. Lakeland Thunderbolts, FL (8-2) 0.841 93.388
3. Reading Express, PA (12-1) 0.832 86.246
4. Tallahassee Titans, FL (9-3) 0.817 76.863
5. Canton Legends, OH (7-4) 0.590 16.951
6. Huntington Heroes, WV (8-3) 0.582 16.215
7. Carolina Speed, NC (6-6) 0.535 12.221
8. Pittsburgh RiverRats, PA (6-6) 0.492 9.458
9. Florence Phantoms, SC (4- 8) 0.484 9.002
10. Montgomery Bears, AL (4-7) 0.483 8.940
11. Johnstown Riverhawks, PA (5-7) 0.390 5.050
12. Baltimore Blackbirds, MD (1-9) 0.216 1.467
13. Gulf Coast Raiders, FL (0-3) 0.164 0.944
14. Danville Demolition, IL (1-10) 0.114 0.581
15. Erie Freeze, PA (1-11) 0.112 0.573

How are they ranked ahead of us?

Posted: Mon May 14, 2007 4:35 pm
by ChampionOfSteel
What's wrong?

Miss. vs. Lakeland (series tied at 1 game apiece)

Posted: Mon May 14, 2007 6:39 pm
by TitanDrew
What's wrong is that Lakland just beat Mississippi by quite a few more points than they had been beaten IN Mississippi, Lakeland is now in 1st in the division (via tiebreaker), and Lakeland's win on Saturday was very impressive against a very good Tallahassee Titans team. That is what's wrong. Flip them, and that would make the Rankings good, though the Titans DID beat Reading this year (but I understand why Reading is ahead of them).

Posted: Mon May 14, 2007 9:11 pm
by ChampionOfSteel
[quote=""TitanDrew""]What's wrong is that Lakland just beat Mississippi by quite a few more points than they had been beaten IN Mississippi, Lakeland is now in 1st in the division (via tiebreaker), and Lakeland's win on Saturday was very impressive against a very good Tallahassee Titans team. That is what's wrong. Flip them, and that would make the Rankings good, though the Titans DID beat Reading this year (but I understand why Reading is ahead of them).[/quote]

Mississippi is 2-0 against Tallahassee.

Lakeland is 1-1 against Tallahassee.

I wonder if the fictitious team forced Reading to be ranked higher than Tallahassee? We need the fictitious team since Gulf Coast is winless in order to get an equilibrium. Not sure I agree with Reading being ahead of Tallahassee in the Bradley-Terry formula. It makes sense to have Mississippi ahead of Lakeland. Can't comprehend at the moment how Reading is ahead of Tallahassee. The only thing I can think of is maybe Mississippi's loss to Carolina pushed the entire North division upward relative to the South division, thereby making Tallahassee's victory over Reading to be considered light.

At any rate, it's too bad the semifinals aren't criss-crossed so we get the two best teams in the league in the final if the two best teams are in the same division. It would be cool to have an all south AIFA championship game!

Posted: Tue May 15, 2007 12:38 am
by ChampionOfSteel
Someone was nice enough to email me I had the Carolina/Florence game scored wrong. Carolina was the winner, not Florence. Here's those rankings again with the correct results:

American Indoor Football Association

Thru 05/12/2007

Rank | Team | Record | Round-Robin Winning Percentage | Bradley-Terry Points
1. Mississippi MudCats (10-2) 0.853 100.000
2. Lakeland Thunderbolts, FL (8-2) 0.841 90.406
3. Reading Express, PA (12-1) 0.828 81.160
4. Tallahassee Titans, FL (9-3) 0.816 74.105
5. Carolina Speed, NC (7-5) 0.603 17.540
6. Canton Legends, OH (7-4) 0.586 15.851
7. Huntington Heroes, WV (8-3) 0.581 15.372
8. Montgomery Bears, AL (4-7) 0.485 8.574
9. Pittsburgh RiverRats, PA (6-6) 0.484 8.524
10. Florence Phantoms, SC (3-9) 0.422 5.835
11. Johnstown Riverhawks, PA (5-7) 0.389 4.718
12. Baltimore Blackbirds, MD (1-9) 0.220 1.422
13. Gulf Coast Raiders, FL (0-3) 0.167 0.911
14. Danville Demolition, IL (1-10) 0.113 0.548
15. Erie Freeze, PA (1-11) 0.113 0.546
Fictitious Team 9.410