PBL Playoff and Champlain Cup scenarios
Manchester's magic number to clinch the PBL's Atlantic Division, and with that a playoff spot, is "2."
The following combinations will give Manchester the Atlantic Division title -
Two Millrats victories
Two Frost Heaves losses AND one Rainmen loss
A Manchester win over Vermont this Friday, AND one Rainmen loss (the win would guarantee Manchester at least a tie, Halifax would still be mathematically able to tie them)
Neither Quebec nor Montreal can claim the Atlantic Division title.
Battle Creek has claimed the Central Division title and a playoff spot. They still have a shot at home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.
Rochester, Wilmington and Augusta are all within a game or two of each other and any one of those three teams could take the Eastern Division title. In fact, it's too early to even determine a combination of wins and losses for either of the three teams.
Buffalo, however, needs four wins to avoid achieving the worst PBL regular season record (the Chicago Throwbacks finished 5-15 last season).
Wilmington and Vermont are the current wild card leaders.
The teams with a realistic shot of catching Wilmington and Vermont for the two wild card spots are Halifax, Augusta and Chicago. Detroit and Montreal would have to win almost all their games and hope for some help. Buffalo and Quebec are all but mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.
TEAM W L QW HW CCPTS
Quebec Kebs 3 2 14.0 7.5 44.0
Manchester Millrats 3 1 12.0 5.0 37.0
Vermont Frost Heaves 3 0 10.0 5.5 36.0
Montreal Sasquat’ch 0 6 0.0 0.0 0.0
Vermont has three games to play (Manch, Manch, Que)
Mancheter has two games to play (Ver, Ver)
Quebec has one game to play (Ver)
Quebec has 44.0 CC points with one game remaining on CC schedule. If Kebs sweep all Champlain Cup points in remaining games, they will finish with a maximum of 57.0 points.
Manchester has 37.0 CC points with two games remaining on CC schedule. If Millrats sweep all Champlain Cup points in remaining games, they will finish with a maximum of 63.0 points.
Vermont has 36.0 CC points with three games remaining. If Frost Heaves sweep all Champlain Cup points in remaining games, they will finish with a maximum of 75.0 points.
With three games left in the series, it is possible for any team to win the Cup, and for it to come down to the final game.
Manchester can win the Champlain Cup with two victories over Vermont, as long as both victories total at least 23 total CC points.
Vermont can win the Champlain Cup outright with two victories over Manchester, as long as both victories total at least 22 CC points.
Quebec could still win the Cup, as long as Vermont and Manchester split their final two CC games, and Quebec beats Vermont in the final CC game of the season.