Massey Ratings are a JOKE

[Minn Twin]

I sent Kenneth Massey an email last week looking for a little respect for my Saints as they had just taken 3 of 4 from the SF Pheasants at home. It was a very playful jab asking for a "little love" as the Saints were only ranked ahead of 3 teams in the entire AA.

How were we rewarded after taking 2 of 3 at Fargo...by dropping us by one point in one of the six rated categories. Seriously???

The sad part is that is seems like he constantly reviewing because the "last update" field changes routinely.

NOTE: If a team wins 5 of 7 games against the CO-#1 ranked teams...why are they so far toward the bottom.




American Association

Last update : 05/21/2011
AA Team Rank Power Offense Defense HA Sched
Fargo-Moorhead RedHawks 1 1 2 1 7 6
Sioux Falls Fighting Pheasants 1 1 2 2 1 5
Shreveport-Bossier Captains 2 6 8 4 4 10
Kansas City T-Bones 2 2 1 6 3 5
Sioux City Explorers 3 2 5 3 5 2
Gary SouthShore Railcats 4 3 5 3 8 1
Lincoln Saltdogs 4 3 1 7 6 1
Wichita Wingnuts 5 4 9 1 2 4
Winnipeg Goldeyes 6 5 3 5 5 3
St. Paul Saints 6 5 4 5 3 3
Grand Prairie AirHogs 8 7 6 9 8 8
Fort Worth Cats 9 9 10 6 10 7
El Paso Diablos 10 10 3 10 9 6

Legend

Rank: overall team ranking based on merit (record relative to schedule faced)
Power: ranking based on predicted future performance
Offense: offensive ranking
Defense: defensive ranking
HA: ranking of team's home advantage
Sched: ranking of team's schedule difficulty (played so far this season)

[preeths]

Respect has nothing to do with it. The Massey Rankings are the product of a mathematical formula. It will take a few series (i.e. different opponents) until they have any statistical relevance.

[Minn Twin]

If it is based solely on on a mathematical formula, there must be an error. Here's the reason... I can see no changes for any team in any of the 6 categories until the data has enough statistical relevance as you've previously stated. That makes very good sense. The problem is that the Saints dropped in at least 1 category since the start of the season (at least that's all I've noticed). The team with the best record in the league should not go down...

We have a convergence of statistical impossibility and common sense saying..."it just doesn't feel right"

I'm just saying...

[preeths]

There just isn't enough data for the ratings to do their job correctly. Give it a week or two and they'll sort themselves out. The data is pulled directly from this site, so if any of our scores are in error, let us know, and we'll make the correction.